Residual-value curve

The course of the market value over the years; steep in the first year, then flattening, differing per segment.

The residual-value curve is the course of the estimated market value of a model against age and mileage. The shape is characteristic: a relatively steep drop in the first year and the first kilometres, then a gradually flattening line. Value retention is a point on that curve, expressed as a percentage of the new price.

The curve is not fixed. New-price changes, fiscal changes, delivery times, battery degradation on EVs and second-hand demand shift or tilt it, and it differs strongly per segment, brand and drivetrain. For drivetrains with a short history the curve is more uncertain because the data series is short.

We show a curve or value-retention figure only with enough reliable data points, with source and reference date; otherwise it reads "insufficient data". It is a reference picture from historical sales data, not a forecast and not buying or investment advice.

See also: Residual value & value retention, Company-car tax (bijtelling), Battery degradation, BPM (concept deep-dive)

Source: Residual-value curves from historical data; only with enough data points, indicative

No tax or financial advice. Every figure shows its source and reference date. Always compare with an independent adviser and the official source.